Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.185278 0.206861 0.229254 0.254167 0.281054 0.309143 0.340651
2025-01-12 0.155548 0.184877 0.216684 0.253557 0.294939 0.339763 0.391800
2025-01-19 0.132945 0.167042 0.205479 0.251629 0.305134 0.364821 0.436028
2025-01-26 0.117638 0.155386 0.199427 0.253938 0.318908 0.393180 0.483793
2025-02-02 0.107811 0.148906 0.198329 0.261132 0.337762 0.427175 0.538288
2025-02-09 0.096696 0.139582 0.192709 0.261946 0.348317 0.451036 0.580864
2025-02-16 0.089119 0.133917 0.190914 0.266872 0.363475 0.480262 0.630014
2025-02-23 0.083737 0.130544 0.191555 0.274500 0.381799 0.513384 0.684223
2025-03-02 0.075303 0.122246 0.185067 0.272323 0.387251 0.530319 0.718483
2025-03-09 0.068792 0.116031 0.180828 0.272621 0.395524 0.550597 0.756917
2025-03-16 0.062441 0.109481 0.175620 0.271159 0.401142 0.567302 0.790833
2025-03-23 0.058849 0.106690 0.175391 0.276274 0.415375 0.595115 0.839122
2025-03-30 0.053960 0.101677 0.171875 0.276888 0.423861 0.616054 0.879587
2025-04-06 0.049402 0.096787 0.168200 0.277001 0.431505 0.635892 0.918841
2025-04-13 0.044833 0.091469 0.163522 0.275354 0.436497 0.652129 0.953487
2025-04-20 0.041761 0.088357 0.161951 0.278049 0.447472 0.676431 0.999017
2025-04-27 0.040134 0.087562 0.163867 0.285873 0.465774 0.710859 1.058438
2025-05-04 0.037126 0.084079 0.161319 0.286811 0.474138 0.731757 1.099919
2025-05-11 0.035273 0.082504 0.161696 0.292120 0.488824 0.761480 1.153616
2025-05-18 0.034118 0.082112 0.163939 0.300301 0.507795 0.797353 1.216063
2025-05-25 0.031081 0.077890 0.159588 0.297983 0.511161 0.811410 1.248801
2025-06-01 0.028767 0.074846 0.157022 0.298308 0.518343 0.830819 1.289018
2025-06-08 0.026329 0.071318 0.153402 0.296747 0.522553 0.845969 1.323420